Do You Like To Play Dominos?
July 14th, 2008 categories: Finance, Market Trends
“IF you can keep your head when all about you
Are losing theirs…”
While the weekend past didn’t witness the height of the current mortgage crisis, the announcement of the financial troubles of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac resulted in both to lose half their stock value, and more than a bit hand wringing by the Treasury Secretary, Henry M. Paulson. Fortunately, despite the government’s longstanding claim of not backing the debt of both these agencies, in the midst of a near financial stroke, Mr. Paulson seemingly did a “one eighty” by announcing on Sunday that the government would not let either of these agencies fail. One could hear the loud and long sigh of relief from Main Street to Wall Street upon hearing Paulson’s words of assurance. Unfortunately, the weekend’s news came on the heels of IndyMac Bank’s collapse and subsequent takeover by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) on Friday. Predictably, the mortgage crisis dominos continue to fall with little relief in sight.
With many analysts indicating that failed banks are “lagging” and not “leading” indicators, how much more ”road kill” will the mortgage mess deliver? Will the next casualty be another national bank like Wachovia or Wells Fargo, or, is it the local banks who are due to walk the sub-prime gangplank? And, just who caused this mess in the first place? A sample line-up of likely suspects would probably look something like AJ Nisen’s list:
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Sub-prime Mortgage Brokers
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Banks
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Rating Services (Standard & Poors, Moody’s, etc.)
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Wall Street Investment Banks
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Bond Insurers
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Government Agencies (The Federal Reserve, Congress, Federal Trade Commission, The Accounting Regulatory Agency, just to name a few)
While his list is fairly comprehensive, what about the borrower? Was the borrower asleep when the lender was explaining the loan options to him? Does the borrower have a responsibility to do a risk assessment/analysis at some point prior to committing to the loan? Or, are they blameless?
What about the borrower’s real estate agent? What are their fudiciary duties? Since many of us don’t “pre-qualify” our buyers any longer, can we look after their best interest in what loan vehicle they choose? Or, do we simply take the word of the lender, even one we aren’t familiar…you know, the internet kind.
Well, enough of the finger pointing. Where we sit is the reult of a journey chock full of bad choices by many of those involved. It didn’t happen overnight. As Robert Louis Stevenson said, “Sooner or later in life, we all sit down to a banquet of consequences.” Little did we know that in this case, the meal just happens to be gruel!
