Our Economic Helter Skelter
November 26th, 2009 categories: Market Trends, Real Estate News
“Sooner or later in life, we all sit down to a banquet of consequences.”
Robert Louis Stevenson
Is a Federal Housing Administration(FHA) crisis on the horizon? With FHA’s insurance reserve ratio falling to the lowest level in history, at 0.53 percent, there are some who believe the FHA is the next subprime crisis waiting to happen. One of those is homebuilder, Toll Brothers Inc., CEO, Robert Toll. Toll predicts that just like the failed bank bailouts, the FHA will be next in the handout line. And, with the reserve ratio as low as it is, he may be on to something. According to a Congressional mandate, the ratio should be no lower than 2.0
In addition to the alarming FHA news, this week’s Wall Street Journal reported that nearly 25 percent of all homeowners are upside down with their home mortgage. In other words, they owe more on the mortgage than their home is worth. Well, considering how values have fallen since ‘05, that isn’t too surprising.
While the recent encouraging national home sales figures provided us a glimmer of hope amidst the current economic downturn, today’s sobering news concerning the viability of FHA home loans, and the depressed values of properties, bring us back to reality. So, what are we to believe? Are things getting better? Is the First Time Homebuyer’s Tax Credit frenzy skewing sales numbers, or, are increased home sales “genuine”? Are these numbers more akin to a mirage? Instead, are we stuck in an economic tailspin for months, or years to come?
In the competition to provide us the latest and greatest updates on where the economy is heading, we see indications that are both promising and discouraging. Where the housing market may be going, we don’t exactly know. But, fortunately, one thing is for sure, there will be homes both bought and sold. So, perhaps we’d best stick to the present, and as they say, the future will take care of itself. After all, as someone once said, “Predicting the future is easy. It’s trying to figure out what’s going on now that’s hard.”
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More Good News
November 23rd, 2009 categories: Real Estate News, Relocating
Invariably, in the course of conversations with friends, one of the topics that normally arises, is the subject of the homes. Usually, the mention comes in the form of, “How’s the housing market?”
Other than the dramatic shock to financial markets during the year following the height of the housing market and subsequent rapid fall in home prices, the sales market has been fairly predictable. Once lenders got a grip on the deluge of foreclosures and short sales, and this glut of properties began to be adequately handled by them (O.K…so, they’ve still got problems with Short Sales, but they’re getting there), the housing market has been relatively stable.
Today’s latest news on the surge in home sales isn’t news to those of us in the business. As one prospective home buyer in the latest USA Today article mentioned, the market is “insane….I’ve never seen a market like this before.”
That, after having finally securing a home following unsuccessful offers on 20 Las Vegas homes. And, while the rush to “get in” and take advantage before the First Time Home Buyers tax credit offer expired can partly be credited with the robust sales numbers, it doesn’t hurt that home prices, in many locations nationwide are 30-50% less than they were in 2005, or that interest rates are rock bottom.
Many believe that home prices have stabilized. But, with more foreclosures and Short Sale properties landing on the market weekly, we may not have seen the bottom quite yet. With extension of the tax credit, and mortgage rates in a low holding pattern, the surge in home sales numbers may, if we’re fortunate, become a trend instead.
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It’s The Simple Things
November 22nd, 2009 categories: Real Estate News, Relocating
Do you have a favorite season of the year? While many of us like something about each of the four seasons, Fall, or Autumn is probably the one I enjoy the most.
It’s cool mornings and evenings, beautiful natural colors, and inkling of the coming holidays, seems to invigorate a sense of better things yet to come. Around Stafford and Fredericksburg, for many, it’s jacket weather (for others, coats), and the stunning colors are second to none.
How about you, what is your favorite season?
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Home Buying and Selling Help From Uncle Sam
November 9th, 2009 categories: Real Estate News, Relocating
In times like these, all of us appreciate a bit of assistance. Fortunately, the government has taken steps to extend a couple of programs designed to assist home sellers and buyers. The first is the Housing Assistance Program (HAP) for military personnel selling their home, the second is the First Time Home Buyer Credit, specifically for those purchasing property.
The Department of Defense’s (DoD) HAP offering is designed to provide financial assistance to its personnel who have to move, and will lose money upon selling. Due to the dramatic decrease in home values in recent years, this program was originally designed to provide financial relief to those required to move due to DoD’s Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) initiative. It expanded to include those DoD personnel whose reassignment or military move was further than what’s categorized as commuting distance. A brief summary of guidelines and what HAP offers can be found here: http://hap.usace.army.mil/Eligibility.html
The original deadline for eligibility was the end of November, 2009. As you might imagine, eligible members were scrambling to get their applications in, and to get their home on the market. Fortunately, the deadline was extended.
Here’s the official announcement of DoD’s Processing and Extension of the HAP Program. It’s got the details, including an extension through Sep 2012. You’ll find the info here, http://tinyurl.com/y8d99pv
Another piece of good news for those in the home market, was this week’s expansion of the First Time Home Buyer’s Tax Credit.
Not only was the tax credit of up to $8000 for qualified first time home buyers extended, but the expansion also offered an additional credit for repeat home buyers. The beauty of the original credit was their definition of a first time buyer; any prospective purchaser who has not owned a principal residence during the three year period prior to the new purchase.
The additional, or expansion of the program included a $6500 tax credit for move-up or repeat home buyers purchasing a home. There are specific details that you need to examine before you assume you qualify for the program’s benefits.
While we can’t always count on the federal government to assist us, it is refreshing to discover their helping hand in times of need. Amid the existing economic downturn, Uncle Sam not only decided to come to the aid of military home sellers whose home values have decreased, but also to help those in the market to buy a home. Let’s hope the prospective beneficiaries of both these offerings are well aware of what’s available, and are taking advantage of them. Who knows when we’ll see this type of assistance again.
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Cleaning Up the Short Sale
November 5th, 2009 categories: Market Trends, Real Estate News
Have you ever been in an uncomfortable position or arrangement that you couldn’t get yourself out of? If your answer is no, then lucky you. Most of us have run into these predicaments a time or two. So, what’s the solution? What steps can you take to try and improve a difficult situation you might be stuck in. And, no, divorce is NOT an option.
Let’s be honest, the “Short Sale” isn’t going anywhere. I know what you’re thinking, “Of course it isn’t going anywhere(in other words, no action by the lender!)”, but, what I mean to say is, they’ll be here for a while. In other words, we’ll be seeing plenty more of them in the the next few years. As long as the economic downturn is with us, there will be homeowners in states of distress who are unable to pay their mortgages. So, how do we turn this lemon into lemonade? (And, believe it or not, it takes more than a lot of sugar!)
Earlier this week, a few local Brokers and Instructors had the opportunity to sit down with Lem Marshall, the Special Counsel to the Virginia Association of Realtors(VAR), to discuss ways the Realtor community can improve the short sale process. By improve, we mean, enhance the chances of a successful short sale. During his presentation, Lem volunteered some helpful hints at how Realtors can maximize their chances of succeeding in dealing with Short Sales.
He began by reminding us that on average, about one in four short sales transactions, nationwide, are successful. While the real estate community doesn’t control all the variables involved in the process, there are a couple of items we do influence. It is those items or factors, if handled and executed properly, that can sometimes mean the difference between success and failure. While Lem conceded that lenders are the main short sale players doing most of the transaction decision making, Realtor’s decisions and actions, if done incorrectly, doom the transaction.
The starting point for Realtors in any transaction, but especially in Short Sales, is competence, according to Mr. Marshall. Understanding the process involves an appreciation for all the moving parts. To begin with, the agent must know what they are doing, and what they’re dealing with. Agents will consider and interact with four main participants in this transaction; the other agent, the property, the client, and, most importantly, the third party, or lender. Let’s begin by looking at the importance of understanding the first two.
THE OTHER AGENT
Since a short sale is a special type of real estate transaction, understanding what’s required takes more than a license to sell real estate. Being aware of what the agent on the other side (especially the Listing agent) of the transaction knows about short sales is important in considering the likelihood of success. If they know what they’re doing (proper valuation of the property, good communication with the lender’s representatives, etc), then chances for success – all things being equal – are probably fairly decent. If they don’t know what they’re doing and are unfamiliar with what’s required, then watch out! You’ll be doing a lot of hand holding (with the other agent, as well as your client), but may be doomed from the beginning.
It’s unfortunate, but until specialized training in short sale procedures is mandatory for all agents handling these transactions, many agents will be unprepared to properly handle what’s necessary. The Certified Short Sale Professional (CSP) course provides agents a comprehensive examination of the requirements of the entire process, and what is required for success. Other than actually handling a short sale transaction, it’s about as good as it gets in preparing agents for dealing with the short sale of a home.
But, as mentioned earlier, if you’re dealing with an inexperienced agent, and that simply means, in this case, one that is inexperienced with short sales, that’s not been trained, then the chances of success are minimal. Why? Because, it is imperative that the Realtor is aware of the specific ins and outs of this unique process. To begin with, the listing agent must be able to properly price the property to be sold.
PROPERLY PRICING THE PROPERTY
Absent a proper valuation of the short sale property, the lender has little incentive to consider any proximate offers on the property by prospective buyers. Real property is worth what someone is willing to pay, nothing more…or less. Believe it or not, lenders are aware of this.
Determining what price a home should be marketed for, whether a regular home sale, or a short sale, depends upon the use of accurate comparables. In other words, what are like or similar properties in the area selling for? Successful Short Sale Specialists advise that these properties be priced just below ($10,000-$15,000 below) the lower price range of similar homes on the market. Remember, lenders WILL be appraising these homes, or ordering a Broker Price Opinion (BPO), at the least. Lenders aren’t going to give these homes away, they’re trying to limit their losses while getting the property out of inventory. So, accurate pricing by the listing agent is a must. Banks, like any normal home reseller, will be asking for market value, or maybe, a little less. That doesn’t mean 20-50% below market value, despite what you might hear from uninformed experts.
Improving the success rate of short sales involves an understanding of what’s required, and the successful completion of the necessary steps by all the parties involved in the operation. For Realtors, not only must they know what’s needed in order to succeed, but it also helps to know what the other side of the transaction knows, as well. With a good idea of what the other agent and their listing have to offer, agents will be better able to communicate effectively and accurately with their client(s) and the third party that’s involved. Those are just the initial steps on the path towards completion of a winning short sale.
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First Things First in Real Estate Practice
November 2nd, 2009 categories: Military Installations, Real Estate News
Most of us that have served time in the military have been the beneficiary of training that develops skills that serve us well for the remainder of our lives. One of those skills is punctuality.
Recently, I attended a local Real Estate Expo. Arriving early provided me the opportunity to spend a few minutes discussing the state of real estate practice with the event’s featured speaker, who is recognized as one of the nation’s premier coaches in real estate. During our short exchange, I mentioned the need for better training, and much more demanding pre-licensing requirements for Realtors. The speaker agreed, but indicated that real estate leadership, national and local, would never let that happen for one simple reason – MONEY. Extending the time, and the difficulty of obtaining a license means more money required to get into the profession by applicants, and a longer training time. In simple terms, that means fewer Realtors. Why? Some just won’t have the dollars, and others, the time and proficiency.
But, the speaker’s words spoke volumes. And, while he willingly voiced them, doubtless there are many others who share his feelings.
Fundamentally altering how real estate is practiced must begin with a change in what’s valued in the business. And, as any organizational change expert will tell you, that change has got to begin at the top. Without “buy in” from those in leadership positions, changing the standards in an organization or profession is virtually impossible.
But, one may ask, what’s in it for them? Why should those in leadership positions in the real estate business change anything? Do leaders have an ethical and professional responsibility to improve the way their business operates?
Have your ever wondered what the difference between leaders and managers is? The short answer is, managers manage things, and leaders lead people. Another simple distinction is that leaders point out the right things to do while managers ensure things are done correctly. In simple terms, the responsibility and charge of leadership is not simply to make sure things get done, it is to make sure you and those you are “leading” are doing the right thing. As Stephen Covey emphasizes in his book, The Speed of Trust, this develops trust among a profession’s members, but just as importantly, the clients that use it as well.
For Realtors, the importance of trust, and faith in their practices, is the basis for their referral business. For many, it’s the lifeblood of their practice. For real estate leadership, trust is the bedrock of the business. Without faith in the profession and professionals they’re using, why should buyers and sellers of real estate rely on Realtors and their profession to do business? Simply put, they shouldn’t. Instead, they’d be better off depending on an alternate source to place their faith in. So, what might leadership do to fundamentally and radically transform real estate practices and procedures to enhance the public’s trust?
It must begin by realizing that the overhaul must be “transformational”, not piecemeal. That means a new level of change featuring innovation and daring by leadership and practitioners alike. The characterization or term, “Transformational Leadership”, was coined by Presidential historian James MacGregor Burns in 1978, to describe a model relationship between the leader and their followers. Burns focused on a more moral and virtuous example featuring new attitudes and perspectives – in other words, a new way of thinking, and new approaches to old problems. In many cases, this new approach requires a new “breed” of leadership. Because, as we all know, it is certainly hard (but not necessarily impossible) to teach an old dog new tricks.
This new level of might begin by including a tougher standard for owners and brokers, the key players in our profession. The old standard of “what they knew or should have known” is just the beginning of what this group of leaders should be held accountable for. How about greater responsibility for the practices of their agents that are a party to a transaction? For example, how many mistakes are made today by agents (how many of these errors result in a failure of the agent to act in the best interest of their client?) involved in short sale or foreclosure transactions due to the agent’s ignorance because they’ve had little or no training in the specifics of either type of those special circumstances? More than a few. In each of those transactions, specialized training is one of the keys to success. Yet, there is no requirement for the necessary specialized training by leadership at the local, state or national level. You have to wonder why?
Secondly, better communication standards or practices would greatly enhance the way business is carried out. The time wasted by trying to track down agents and information due to unanswered and unreturned inquiries is enormous. Now, are those missed or unreturned calls the fault of the managing broker or owner? Well, not directly. But, if their firm’s culture (not to mention, this profession’s) is one that tolerates unprofessional practices, then the blame is certainly partly theirs. As many Realtors would admit, many firms willingly look the other way rather than confront those that are routinely guilty of these faults.
Most owners would rather not upset the money cart. One too many admonishments might scare off the money maker. But, what if managing brokers demanded the same higher standard of practice from all the agents they oversee, and none was “above the law”? How easy would it be for an agent to find another enabler to practice under?
Do better practices mean a better product? By all measures, yes. So, why aren’t they required? When will leadership begin to set higher standards for those practicing real estate? Perhaps these are questions, we who practice real estate, need to be asking more and more of those who sit in the seats of real estate leadership.
As mentioned recently by Lem Marshall, the Special Counsel to the Virginia Association of Realtors(VAR), in discussing what’s needed to dramatically improve the Short Sale process, he said that improved competence by agents would go along way in making a dysfunctional process much better. His audience was a group of brokers and owners. Lem was making it clear to those who hold the reins of power that they are responsible for having their agents prepared to practice properly. Demanding competency is simply good leadership. And, after all, accountability is a strong motivator. Let’s hope those in the audience were listening.
While Lem’s Road Show was sorely needed, in an attempt to improve a Short Sale process badly in need of repair, let’s hope it is just the beginning of a larger effort to move this profession’s leadership in the right direction.
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